Friday, January 11, 2013
The four horseman of the American Foreign Policy Apocalypse.By Barry Rubin. I did a lot of soul-searching bef ore writing my latest article, “After the Fall: What Do You Do When You Conclude America is (Temporarily or Permanently) Kaput?” Of course, I believed every word of it and have done so f or a while. But would it depress readers too much? Would it just be too grim? Maybe U.S. policy will just muddle through the next four years and beyond without any disasters. Perhaps the world will be spared big crises. Possibly the fact that there isn’t some single big superpower enemy seeking world domination will keep things contained. Perhaps that is true.
Yet within hours after its publication I concluded that I hadn’t been too pessimistic. The cause of that reaction is the breaking story that not only will Senator John Kerry be the new secretary of state; that not only will the equally reprehensible former Senator Chuck Hagel be secretary of def ense, but that John Brennan, the president’s counterterrorism advisor, will become CIA chief .
About two years ago I joked that if Kerry would become secretary of state it was time to think about heading f or that fallout shelter in New Zealand. This trio in power—which along with Obama himself could be called the four horseman of the Apocalypse f or U.S. foreign policy—might require an inter-stellar journey. Let me stress that this is not really about Israel. At the end of Obama’s second term, U.S.-Israel relations will probably be roughly where they are now. Palestinian strategy–both by the Palestinian Authority and Hamas– has left the United States no diplomatic or “peace process” option on that f ront. The problem is one of U.S. interests, especially the American position in the Middle East but also in other parts of the world.Read the full story here.